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出版商:
Springer
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出版日期:
2018-06-24
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售價:
$5,380
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貴賓價:
9.5 折
$5,111
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語言:
英文
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頁數:
192
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裝訂:
Quality Paper - also called trade paper
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ISBN:
3319831070
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ISBN-13:
9783319831077
商品描述
This book is a practical, step-by-step introduction to microsimulation in demography. It shows how to use Modgen, a powerful and free microsimulation platform built by Statistics Canada. The authors' hands-on explanation of model development will help readers make their own. The book teaches how to create and run a simple cohort model with a single fixed-rate event, and builds upon this concept. It introduces how to develop both a single state life table as well as a multiple increment-decrement life table using the tools provided by Modgen. The authors illustrate how to easily upgrade an existing model by adding new modules and new dimensions as determinants of a risk already modeled. The integration of a fertility module and a base population allows the user to bring new actors into the simulation and transform a cohort-based model into a population-based one. The final addition of an international migration module allows the user to accomplish fully open, multi-regional projections. This accessible introduction will be of interest to researchers and students in population studies and other social sciences. It will also appeal to anyone interested in the computational modeling of population dynamics.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
本書是對人口學中微模擬的實用逐步介紹。它展示了如何使用 Modgen，這是一個由加拿大統計局開發的強大且免費的微模擬平台。作者對模型開發的實作說明將幫助讀者自行創建模型。本書教導如何創建和運行一個具有單一固定事件率的簡單隊列模型，並在此基礎上進行擴展。它介紹了如何使用 Modgen 提供的工具來開發單一狀態生命表以及多重增減生命表。作者說明了如何通過添加新模組和新維度來輕鬆升級現有模型，這些新元素作為已建模風險的決定因素。整合生育模組和基礎人口使得使用者能夠將新角色引入模擬，並將基於隊列的模型轉變為基於人口的模型。最後添加的國際移民模組使得使用者能夠實現完全開放的多區域預測。這本易於理解的入門書籍將吸引人口研究及其他社會科學領域的研究者和學生，也會吸引任何對人口動態的計算建模感興趣的人士。
作者簡介
Alain Bélanger is professor of demography at the Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique (INRS-Urbanisation Culture Société), in Montréal, Canada and President of the Canadian Population Association between (2014- 2016). He graduated from the University of Montréal where he received his BA in History and MSc in Demography, and from the University of Colorado where he received his PhD in Geography. Prior to his appointment as a university professor, he worked 17 years at Statistics Canada where he held the positions of Coordinator of research and analysis in Demography Division and Assistant-director with the Census Subject Matter Program. Between 1999 and 2006, he was the Editor of Statistics Canada's annual Report on the Demographic Situation in Canada. His research interests include population projections and microsimulation, immigration and integration and demolinguistic.
Patrick Sabourin has a Bachelor's degree in electrical engineering and a Master's degree in Biology, both from McGill University (Montréal, Canada). He is now a PhD student in Demography under the supervision of Alain Bélanger at the Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique (INRS-Urbanisation Culture Société). His research interests include demographic projections, microsimulation and population modeling, immigration and demolinguistics.
作者簡介(中文翻譯)
阿蘭·貝朗傑（Alain Bélanger）是加拿大蒙特利爾國家科學研究院（Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique, INRS-Urbanisation Culture Société）的人口學教授，並於2014年至2016年間擔任加拿大人口協會的會長。他畢業於蒙特利爾大學，獲得歷史學學士學位和人口學碩士學位，並在科羅拉多大學獲得地理學博士學位。在擔任大學教授之前，他在加拿大統計局工作了17年，擔任人口學部門的研究與分析協調員及普查主題計畫的助理主任。1999年至2006年間，他是加拿大統計局《加拿大人口狀況年報》的編輯。他的研究興趣包括人口預測和微觀模擬、移民與融合以及語言人口學。
帕特里克·薩布林（Patrick Sabourin）擁有麥吉爾大學（McGill University，蒙特利爾，加拿大）的電機工程學學士學位和生物學碩士學位。他目前是國家科學研究院（Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique, INRS-Urbanisation Culture Société）人口學的博士生，指導教授為阿蘭·貝朗傑（Alain Bélanger）。他的研究興趣包括人口預測、微觀模擬和人口建模、移民及語言人口學。
